Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Television Movie
Weekly Commentary (Updated June 22, 2023): The race for outstanding television movie saw 61 films in the running, an uptick from 48, 41 and 28 during the past three years.
Depending on your definition of an animated feature, Paramount+’s “Beavis and Butt-head Do the Universe” could be the second from the medium nominated for outstanding TV movie after last year’s winner “Chip n’ Dale Rescue Rangers,” which had live-action elements.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
Many genre movies are in the conversation, including the sci-fi-horror film “Prey” and the comedy “Fire Island,” both from Hulu.
Don’t ever count out Netflix in this category with four films in the running, notably “Last Kingdom: Seven Kings Must Die.”
After more holiday movies on TV than ever before, five have been submitted to the Emmys race. In addition, “Teen Wolf: The Movie,” Paramount+’s adaptation of the MTV supernatural-thriller series, has also thrown its hat into the ring.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)
- “Fire Island” (Hulu)
- “Prey” (Hulu)
- “Reality” (HBO)
- “Beavis and Butt-Head Do the Universe” (Paramount+)
Next in Line
- “Last Kingdom: Seven Kings Must Die” (Netflix)
- “Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas” (NBC)
- “Jerry & Marge Go Large” (Paramount+)
- “Father of the Bride” (HBO)
- “Reno 911: It’s a Wonderful Heist” (Comedy Central)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “Boston Strangler” (Hulu)
- “Disney’s Pinocchio” (Disney+)
- “Honor Society” (Paramount+)
- “Shotgun Wedding” (Prime Video)
- “Hocus Pocus 2” (Disney+)
- “Rosaline” (Hulu)
- “Peter Pan & Wendy” (Disney+)
- “Reba McEntire’s The Hammer” (Lifetime)
- “Meet Cute” (Peacock)
- “Teen Wolf: The Movie” (Paramount+)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
- “Adult Swim Yule Log” (Adult Swim)
- “The Sound of Christmas” (BET+)
- “Out of Office” (Comedy Central)
- “Reno 911: It’s a Wonderful Heist” (Comedy Central)
- “A Waltons Thanksgiving” (The CW)
- “Disenchanted” (Disney+)
- “Disney’s Pinocchio” (Disney+)
- “Hocus Pocus 2” (Disney+)
- “Peter Pan & Wendy” (Disney+)
- “The Princess” (Disney+)
- “Rise” (Disney+)
- “Hotel for the Holidays” (Freevee)
- “A Christmas… Present” (Great American Family)
- “The 12 Days of Christmas Eve” (Lifetime)
- “An Amish Sin” (Lifetime)
- “Black Girl Missing” (Lifetime)
- “Gwen Shamblin: Starving For Salvation” (Lifetime)
- “Kirk Franklin’s The Night Before Christmas” (Lifetime)
- “Reba McEntire’s The Hammer” (Lifetime)
- “A Christmas Story Christmas” (HBO)
- “Father of the Bride” (HBO)
- “Reality” (HBO)
- “Boston Strangler” (Hulu)
- “Clock” (Hulu)
- “Fire Island” (Hulu)
- “Hellraiser” (Hulu)
- “Not Okay” (Hulu)
- “Prey” (Hulu)
- “Quasi” (Hulu)
- “Rosaline” (Hulu)
- “Rye Lane” (Hulu)
- “White Men Can’t Jump” (Hulu)
- “Love Accidentally” (Hybrid)
- “Cocoa” (Indie Rights)
- “Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas” (NBC)
- “Do Revenge” (Netflix)
- “Dog Game” (Netflix)
- “Last Kingdom: Seven Kings Must Die” (Netflix)
- “The Noel Diary” (Netflix)
- “Beavis and Butt-Head Do the Universe” (Paramount+)
- “Fantasy Football” (Paramount+)
- “Honor Society” (Paramount+)
- “Jerry & Marge Go Large” (Paramount+)
- “Secret Headquarters” (Paramount+)
- “Significant Other” (Paramount+)
- “Teen Wolf: The Movie” (Paramount+)
- “Meet Cute” (Peacock)
- “Praise This” (Peacock)
- “Sick” (Peacock)
- “Anything’s Possible” (Prime Video)
- “Don’t Make Me Go” (Prime Video)
- “Goodnight Mommy” (Prime Video)
- “My Best Friend’s Exorcism” (Prime Video)
- “On a Wing and a Prayer” (Prime Video)
- “The People We Hate at the Wedding” (Prime Video)
- “The Portable Door” (Prime Video)
- “Run Sweetheart Run” (Prime Video)
- “Samaritan” (Prime Video)
- “Shotgun Wedding” (Prime Video)
- “Somebody I Used to Know” (Prime Video)
- “Something from Tiffany’s” (Prime Video)
- “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)
** This list or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: “Chip ‘n Dale: Rescue Rangers” (Disney+) — Alexander Young and Tom Peitzman (executive producers); Todd Lieberman and David Hoberman (produced by)
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directo