Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
Weekly Commentary (Updated: June 22, 2023): The limited or anthology category has buzzy titles in the mix such as Netflix’s “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” and Showtime’s “George & Tammy.” This year’s 51 is down from 61 entries in 2022, 37 in 2021 and 41 in 2020.
For the past four Emmy ceremonies, Netflix has had a strong presence in the limited or anthology series category with “Godless,” “When They See Us,” “Unbelievable,” “Unorthodox,” “The Queen’s Gambit” and “Inventing Anna.” With “Gambit” the only victor in that run, they have two mighty shows with the critical backing and acclaim to get them over the finish line — Ryan Murphy’s “Dahmer” and Lee Sung-jin’s “Beef,” which is co-produced by the current reigning Oscar champion studio, A24. However, even though each has its own share of individual baggage and controversy, the miniseries have managed to stay above the fray and look assured of Emmy recognition.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
With its look at serial killer Jeffrey Dahmer, the Netflix series is one of many stories with a killer edge in the race. Apple TV+’s “Black Bird” looks at the convicted killer and rapist Larry Hall (played by supporting front-runner Paul Walter Hauser) while
Prime Video’s “Daisy Jones & the Six” has a legion of followers on social and consumer spaces. However, it’s unclear if that will translate with TV Academy voters. The team has been doing their rounds leading up to voting, including gracing the cover of Variety’s Women of Awards season special issue.
We’re anticipating five nominees in this category since we’re currently tracking about 47 entrants. Eighty submissions are needed for six nominees (160 for seven and over 240 for eight).
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.
Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)
- “Beef” (Netflix)
- “Daisy Jones & the Six” (Prime Video)
- “George & Tammy” (Showtime)
Next in Line
- “Love & Death” (HBO)
- “A Small Light” (National Geographic)
- “Fleishman is in Trouble” (FX)
- “Obi-Wan Kenobi” (Disney+)
- “The Patient” (FX)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “Tiny Beautiful Things” (Hulu)
- “White House Plumbers” (HBO)
- “Welcome to Chippendales” (Hulu)
- “Mrs. Davis” (Peacock)
- “Swarm” (Prime Video)
- “Tom Jones (Masterpiece)” (PBS)
- “Great Expectations” (FX)
- “Paul T. Goldman” (Peacock)
- “The English” (Prime Video)
- “Documentary Now!” (IFC)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
- “Colosseum” (A&E)
- “This is Going to Hurt” (AMC)
- “Slasher: Ripper” (AMC)
- “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)
- “Extrapolations” (Apple TV+)
- “Five Days at Memorial” (Apple TV+)
- “The Last Thing He Told Me” (Apple TV+)
- “Little America” (Apple TV+)
- “Ms. Marvel” (Disney+)
- “Obi-Wan Kenobi” (Disney+)
- “Accused” (Fox)
- “American Horror Stories” (FX)
- “American Horror Story: NYC” (FX)
- “Fleishman is in Trouble” (FX)
- “Great Expectations” (FX)
- “Irma Vep” (HBO)
- “Love & Death” (HBO)
- “White House Plumbers” (HBO)
- “Mike” (Hulu)
- “The Patient” (Hulu)
- “Tiny Beautiful Things” (Hulu)
- “Welcome to Chippendales” (Hulu)
- “Documentary Now!” (IFC)
- “Flowers in the Attic: The Origin” (Lifetime)
- “Linked by Love” (Mendez National Institute of Transplantation Foundation)
- “A Spy Among Friends” (MGM+)
- “A Small Light” (National Geographic)
- “Beef” (Netflix)
- “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- “Echoes” (Netflix)
- “Florida Man” (Netflix)
- “Guillermo del Toro’s Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- “From Scratch” (Netflix)
- “Kaleidoscope” (Netflix)
- “Keep Breathing” (Netflix)
- “Transatlantic” (Netflix)
- “The Watcher” (Netflix)
- “The Witcher: Blood Origin” (Netflix)
- “Cherish the Day” (OWN)
- “Tom Jones (Masterpiece)” (PBS)
- “The Best Man: The Final Chapters” (Peacock)
- “A Friend of the Family” (Peacock)
- “Last Light” (Peacock)
- “Mrs. Davis” (Peacock)
- “Paul T. Goldman” (Peacock)
- “Chloe” (Prime Video)
- “Daisy Jones & the Six” (Prime Video)
- “Dead Ringers” (Prime Video)
- “The English” (Prime Video)
- “Swarm” (Prime Video)
- “George & Tammy” (Showtime)
** This list or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: “The White Lotus” (HBO) — Season 1 — Mike White, David Bernad, Nick Hall (executive producers); Mark Kamine (co-executive producer)
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.