Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Weekly Commentary (Updated June 22, 2023): The men from “Succession” will compete against one another for the eight coveted spots: last year’s winner Matthew Macfadyen, Alexander Skarsgård, Nicholas Braun and Alan Ruck.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
We also have multiple names from “Better Call Saul” and “The White Lotus.” Will we see only three shows represented?
That’s where John Lithgow (“The Old Man”), Jonathan Pryce (“The Crown”) and Matt Smith (“House of the Dragon”) could benefit and take advantage of potential vote-splitting.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.
Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- Matthew Macfadyen — “Succession” (HBO)
- F. Murray Abraham — “The White Lotus” (HBO)
- Giancarlo Esposito — “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
- Alexander Skarsgård — “Succession” (HBO)
- Matt Smith — “House of the Dragon” (HBO)
- Jonathan Banks — “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
- John Lithgow — “The Old Man” (FX)
- Alan Ruck — “Succession” (HBO)
Next in Line
- Nicholas Braun — “Succession” (HBO)
- Michael Imperioli — “The White Lotus” (HBO)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- Jonathan Pryce — “The Crown” (Netflix)
- Bradley Whitford — “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
- Stellan Skarsgård — “Andor” (Disney+)
- Tom Hollander — “The White Lotus” (HBO)
- Theo James — “The White Lotus” (HBO)
- Max Minghella — “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
- Ismael Cruz Córdova — “The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” (Prime Video)
- Claes Bang — “Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
- Laz Alonso — “The Boys” (Prime Video)
- Elijah Wood — “Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
- Jeff Perry — “Alaska Daily” (ABC)
- Andre Braugher — “The Good Doctor” (ABC)
- Richard Schiff — “The Good Doctor” (ABC)
- Sam Reid — “Anne Rice’s Interview with the Vampire” (AMC)
- Harry Hamlin — “Anne Rice’s Mayfair Witches” (AMC)
- Jack Huston — “Anne Rice’s Mayfair Witches” (AMC)
- Jonathan Banks — “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
- Giancarlo Esposito — “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
- Pat Healy — “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
- Claes Bang — “Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
- Brian Gleeson— “Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
- Daryl McCormack — “Bad Sisters” (Apple TV+)
- Hank Azaria — “Hello Tomorrow!” (Apple TV+)
- Peter Mullan — “Liaison” (Apple TV+)
- Jack Lowden — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
- Stellan Skarsgård — “Andor” (Disney+)
- Kyle Sollder — “Andor” (Disney+)
- Carl Weathers — “The Mandalorian” (Disney+)
- Amar Chadha-Patel — “Willow” (Disney+)
- Tony Revolori — “Willow” (Disney+)
- John Lithgow — “The Old Man” (FX)
- Fabien Frankel — “House of the Dragon” (HBO)
- Rhys Ifans — “House of the Dragon” (HBO)
- Matt Smith — “House of the Dragon” (HBO)
- Steve Toussaint — “House of the Dragon” (HBO)
- Dan Levy — “The Idol” (HBO)
- Troye Sivan — “The Idol” (HBO)
- Ken Leung — “Industry” (HBO)
- Chris Chalk — “Perry Mason” (HBO)
- Shea Whigham — “Perry Mason” (HBO)
- Matthew Macfadyen — “Succession” (HBO)
- Nicholas Braun — “Succession” (HBO)
- Alan Ruck — “Succession” (HBO)
- Alexander Skarsgård — “Succession” (HBO)
- Ed Harris — “Westworld” (HBO)
- James Marsden — “Westworld” (HBO)
- Jeffrey Wright — “Westworld” (HBO)
- F. Murray Abraham — “The White Lotus” (HBO)
- Tom Hollander — “The White Lotus” (HBO)
- Michael Imperioli — “The White Lotus” (HBO)
- Theo James — “The White Lotus” (HBO)
- Will Sharpe — “The White Lotus” (HBO)
- Leo Woodall — “The White Lotus” (HBO)
- O-T Fagbenle — “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
- Max Minghella — “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
- Bradley Whitford — “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
- Vincent D’Onofrio — “Godfather of Harlem” (MGM+)
- Aneurin Barnard – “1899” (Netflix)
- Anton Lesser – “1899” (Netflix)
- Jonathan Pryce — “The Crown” (Netflix)
- Jonny Lee Miller — “The Crown” (Netflix)
- Ato Essandoh — “The Diplomat” (Netflix)
- David Gyasi — “The Diplomat” (Netflix)
- Rory Kinnear — “The Diplomat” (Netflix)
- Rufus Sewell — “The Diplomat” (Netflix)
- Boyd Holbrook — “The Sandman” (Netflix)
- Ed Speleers — “You” (Netflix)
- Timothy Dalton — “1923” (Paramount+)
- Brandon Sklenar — “1923” (Paramount+)
- Michael Emerson — “Evil” (Paramount+)
- Andre Braugher — “The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
- John Slattery — “The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
- Charles Dance — “Rabbit Hole” (Paramount+)
- Jonathan Frakes — “Star Trek: Picard” (Paramount+)
- Michael Dorn — “Star Trek: Picard” (Paramount+)
- LeVar Burton — “Star Trek: Picard” (Paramount+)
- Brent Spiner — “Star Trek: Picard” (Paramount+)
- Ed Speleers — “Star Trek: Picard” (Paramount+)
- Todd Stashwick — “Star Trek: Picard” (Paramount+)
- Wes Bentley — “Yellowstone” (Paramount Network)
- Gil Birmingham — “Yellowstone” (Paramount Network)
- Luke Grimes — “Yellowstone” (Paramount Network)
- Cole Hauser — “Yellowstone” (Paramount Network)
- Mo Brings Plenty — “Yellowstone” (Paramount Network)
- Adrian Holmes — “Bel-Air” (Peacock)
- Olly Sholotan — “Bel-Air” (Peacock)
- Jensen Ackles — “The Boys” (Prime Video)
- Laz Alonso — “The Boys” (Prime Video)
- Tomer Capone — “The Boys” (Prime Video)
- Chase Crawford — “The Boys” (Prime Video)
- Jessie T. Usher — “The Boys” (Prime Video)
- Stanley Tucci — “Citadel” (Prime Video)
- Robert Aramayo — “The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” (Prime Video)
- Owain Arthur — “The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” (Prime Video)
- Ismael Cruz Córdova — “The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” (Prime Video)
- Charlie Vickers — “The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” (Prime Video)
- Josh Charles — “The Power” (Prime Video)
- Toheeb Jimoh — “The Power” (Prime Video)
- John Leguizamo — “The Power” (Prime Video)
- Taylor Kitsch — “The Terminal List” (Prime Video)
- John Leguizamo — “Waco: The Aftermath” (Showtime)
- Kevin Alves — “Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
- Warren Kole — “Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
- Steven Krueger — “Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
- Elijah Wood — “Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
- Bjorgvin Arnarson — “Chucky” (Syfy)
- Devon Sawa — “Chucky” (Syfy)
- J Alphonse Nicholson — “P Valley” (Starz)
** This list or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: Matthew Macfadyen, “Succession” (HBO) — Season 3
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.