Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series
Weekly Commentary (Updated June 23, 2023): With 202 submissions for supporting comedy actress and 239 for supporting comedy actor. Coming up one submission short of the required 240 in one of the categories means only seven nominees will be named. Someone big could be on the chopping block… but who?
Three contenders feel assured spots — Janelle James and Sheryl Lee Ralph from “Abbott Elementary” and Hannah Waddingham from “Ted Lasso.”
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
More than a dozen possibilities are vying for the remaining slots.
Former winners and nominees can be considered safe bets such as Alex Borstein (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”). However, people like Juno Temple (“Ted Lasso”) and Cecily Strong (“Saturday Night Live”) are facing internal competition that could make it difficult to crack the lineup.
I’m worried about the newcomers in the lineup such as Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”) and Jessica Williams (“Shrinking”) who could get the shaft for more established Hollywood names. The purity of their performances will hopefully pull them through.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.
Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- Janelle James — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- Hannah Waddingham — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Sheryl Lee Ralph — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- Alex Borstein — “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Prime Video)
- Ayo Edebiri — “The Bear” (FX)
- Sarah Goldberg — “Barry” (HBO)
- Jessica Williams — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
Next in Line
- Juno Temple — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Christa Miller — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- Lisa Ann Walter — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- Cecily Strong— “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
- Ego Nwodim— “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
- Michelle Yeoh — “American Born Chinese” (Disney+)
- Jane Krakowski — “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+)
- Zazie Beetz — “Atlanta” (FX)
- Marin Hinkle — “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Prime Video)
- Gabrielle Dennis — “A Black Lady Sketch Show” (HBO)
- Gwendoline Christie — “Wednesday” (Netflix)
- Skye Townsend — “A Black Lady Sketch Show” (HBO)
- Lukita Maxwell — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
- Janelle James — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- Sheryl Lee Ralph — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- Lisa Ann Walter — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- Laurie Metcalf — “The Conners” (ABC)
- Lauren Ash — “Not Dead Yet” (ABC)
- Mireille Enos — “Lucky Hank” (AMC)
- Vanessa Bauche — “Acapulco” (Apple TV+)
- Djouliet Amara — “The Big Door Prize” (Apple TV+)
- Elizabeth Hunter — “The Big Door Prize” (Apple TV+)
- Ally Maki — “The Big Door Prize” (Apple TV+)
- Gabrielle Dennis — “The Big Door Prize” (Apple TV+)
- Michaela Jay Rodriguez — “Loot” (Apple TV+)
- Dove Cameron — “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+)
- Kristen Chenoweth — “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+)
- Ariana DeBose — “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+)
- Jane Krakowski — “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+)
- Heidi Gardener — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- Christa Miller — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- Lukita Maxwell — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- Lily Rabe — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- Jessica Williams — “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- Juno Temple — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Hannah Waddingham — “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
- Yvette Nicole Brown — “Act Your Age” (Bounce TV)
- Danielle Pinnock — “Ghosts” (CBS)
- Rebecca Wisocky — “Ghosts” (CBS)
- Tichina Arnold — “The Neighborhood” (CBS)
- Michelle Yeoh — “American Born Chinese” (Disney+)
- Susan Berger — “Jury Duty” (Freevee)
- Cassandra Blair — “Jury Duty” (Freevee)
- Shakira Barrera — “Sprung” (Freevee)
- Zazie Beetz — “Atlanta” (FX)
- Ayo Edebiri — “The Bear” (FX)
- Abby Elliott — “The Bear” (FX)
- Chloe Bennett — “Dave” (FX)
- Rachel Bloom — “Reboot” (FX)
- Paulina Alexis — “Reservation Dogs” (FX)
- D’Arcy Carden — “Barry” (HBO)
- Sarah Goldberg — “Barry” (HBO)
- Gabrielle Dennis — “A Black Lady Sketch Show” (HBO)
- Skye Townsend — “A Black Lady Sketch Show” (HBO)
- Yalitiza Aparicio — “Los Espookys” (HBO)
- Jonica Booth — “Rap Shit” (HBO)
- Molly Shannon — “The Other Two” (HBO)
- Belinda Bromilow — “The Great” (Hulu)
- Cara Delevingne — “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
- Jayne Houdyshell — “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
- Wanda Sykes — “History of the World Part II” (Hulu)
- Hiam Abbass — “Ramy” (Hulu)
- Chloe Fineman— “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
- Heidi Gardner— “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
- Punkie Johnson— “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
- Molly Kearney— “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
- Ego Nwodim— “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
- Sarah Sherman— “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
- Cecily Strong— “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
- Courtney Henggeler — “Cobra Kai” (Netflix)
- Mary Mouser — “Cobra Kai” (Netflix)
- Diana Maria Riva — “Dead to Me” (Netflix)
- Philippine Leroy-Beaulieu — “Emily in Paris” (Netflix)
- Ashley Park — “Emily in Paris” (Netflix)
- Camille Razat — “Emily in Paris” (Netflix)
- Farah Bsieso — “Mo” (Netflix)
- Teresa Ruiz — “Mo” (Netflix)
- Cocoa Brown — “Never Have I Ever” (Netflix)
- Poorna Jagannathan — “Never Have I Ever” (Netflix)
- Richa Moorjani — “Never Have I Ever” (Netflix)
- Lee Rodriguez — “Never Have I Ever” (Netflix)
- Megan Suri — “Never Have I Ever” (Netflix)
- Ramona Young — “Never Have I Ever” (Netflix)
- Andrea Anders — “That ’90s Show” (Netflix)
- Ashley Aufderheide — “That ’90s Show” (Netflix)
- Sian Clifford — “Unstable” (Netflix)
- Emma Ferreira — “Unstable” (Netflix)
- Rachel Marsh — “Unstable” (Netflix)
- Journey Christine — “The Upshaws” (Netflix)
- Gabrielle Dennis — “The Upshaws” (Netflix)
- Khali Spraggins — “The Upshaws” (Netflix)
- Wanda Sykes — “The Upshaws” (Netflix)
- Gwendoline Christie — “Wednesday” (Netflix)
- Riki Lindhome — “Wednesday” (Netflix)
- Christina Ricci — “Wednesday” (Netflix)
- Adriyan Rae — “The Game” (Paramount+)
- Analisa Velez — “The Game” (Paramount+)
- Shanel Bailey — “Grease: Rise of the Pink Ladies” (Paramount+)
- Edie Falco — “Bupkis” (Peacock)
- Lera Abova — “Pitch Perfect: Bumper in Berlin” (Peacock)
- Nina Bloomgarden — “The Resort” (Peacock)
- Grace Byers — “Harlem” (Prime Video)
- Jerrie Johnson — “Harlem” (Prime Video)
- Shoniqua Shandai — “Harlem” (Prime Video)
- D’Arcy Carden — “A League of Their Own” (Prime Video)
- Sally Hawkins — “Mammals” (Prime Video)
- Caroline Aaron — “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Prime Video)
- Alex Borstein — “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Prime Video)
- Marin Hinkle — “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Prime Video)
- Caroline Aaron — “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” (Prime Video)
- Jaylen Barron — “Blindspotting” Starz)
- Jennifer Garner — “Party Down” (Starz)
- Jane Lynch — “Party Down” (Starz)
- Megan Mullally — “Party Down” (Starz)
- Elizabeth Bowen — “Resident Alien” (Syfy)
** This list or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: Sheryl Lee Ralph as Barbara Howard — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC) — Season 1
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.