Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or TV Movie
Weekly Commentary (Updated: June 22, 2023): Supporting actress (limited) has 177 powerhouse performances (vs. 92 in 2022) which include Claire Danes (“Fleishman is in Trouble”) and Olivia Colman (“Great Expectations”). Supporting actor (limited) having 209 will give us seven nominees for each category.
Is there room for two women from Netflix’s “Dahmer?” It makes sense since the show is a front-runner, and noms are tied to the question — which shows did they watch? That’s why I’m starting to suspect that Niecy Nash-Betts (who’s starting to pull away from the pack) could be joined by her co-star Michael Learned, a four-time Emmy winner for “The Waltons” and “Nurse.”
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
Netflix’s “Beef” could bring extensive Asian representation with its stars, particularly Ali Wong (in lead) and Ashley Park, who would be the second Asians ever recognized in their respective categories.
The rest of the category seems to have a large number of shows that their only major nom would be in this category — “Great Expectations,” “Five Days at Memorial” and “White House Plumbers” among the most notable. That’s difficult to achieve, especially in this era with “too much TV.” So, you either predict the shows to get more noms than the trends are currently suggesting, or you leave them off.
And then there’s Meryl Streep because she’s, well… Meryl Streep. Highly unlikely that Apple’s “Extrapolations” will pick up much TV Academy love, but if there’s one thing that can be embraced, it’s the most outstanding living actress. Doubt Meryl at your peri,l as the pundit saying goes.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.
Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- Niecy Nash-Betts — “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- Claire Danes — “Fleishman is in Trouble” (FX)
- Michael Learned — “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- Olivia Colman — “Great Expectations” (Hulu)
- Maria Bello — “Beef” (Netflix)
- Merritt Wever — “Tiny Beautiful Things” (Hulu)
- Lena Headey — “White House Plumbers” (HBO)
Next in Line
- Ashley Park — “Beef” (Netflix)
- Lily Rabe — “Love & Death” (HBO)
- Judy Greer — “White House Plumbers” (HBO)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- Meryl Streep — “Extrapolations” (Apple TV+)
- Cherry Jones — “Five Days at Memorial” (Apple TV+)
- Moses Ingram — “Obi-Wan Kenobi” (Disney+)
- Jennifer Ehle — “Dead Ringers” (Prime Video)
- Evan Rachel Wood — “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)
- Camila Morrone — “Daisy Jones & the Six” (Prime Video)
- Penelope Ann Miller — “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- Margaret Cho — “Fire Island” (Hulu)
- Molly Ringwald — “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- Julianne Nicholson — “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
- Harriet Walter — “This is Going to Hurt” (AMC)
- Julie Ann Emery — “Five Days at Memorial” (Apple TV+)
- Cherry Jones — “Five Days at Memorial” (Apple TV+)
- Marion Cotillard — “Extrapolations” (Apple TV+)
- Cherry Jones — “Extrapolations” (Apple TV+)
- Diane Lane — “Extrapolations” (Apple TV+)
- Keri Russell — “Extrapolations” (Apple TV+)
- Meryl Streep — “Extrapolations” (Apple TV+)
- Zenobia Shroff — “Ms. Marvel” (Disney+)
- Yasmeen Fletcher — “Ms. Marvel” (Disney+)
- Nimra Bucha — “Ms. Marvel” (Disney+)
- Maya Erskine — “Obi-Wan Kenobi” (Disney+)
- Moses Ingram — “Obi-Wan Kenobi” (Disney+)
- Claire Danes — “Fleishman is in Trouble” (FX)
- Lily Rabe — “Love & Death” (HBO)
- Judy Greer — “White House Plumbers” (HBO)
- Lena Headey — “White House Plumbers” (HBO)
- Kathleen Turner — “White House Plumbers” (HBO)
- Carrie Coon — “Boston Strangler” (Hulu)
- Margaret Cho — “Fire Island” (Hulu)
- Olivia Colman — “Great Expectations” (Hulu)
- Linda Emond — “The Patient” (Hulu)
- Laura Niemi — “The Patient” (Hulu)
- Sarah Pidgeon — “Tiny Beautiful Things” (Hulu)
- Merritt Wever — “Tiny Beautiful Things” (Hulu)
- Annaleigh Ashford — “Welcome to Chippendales” (Hulu)
- Juliette Lewis — “Welcome to Chippendales” (Hulu)
- Ashley Brooke — “A Small Light” (National Geographic)
- Maria Bello — “Beef” (Netflix)
- Ashley Park — “Beef” (Netflix)
- Sofia Boutella — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- Tenika Davis — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- Daphne Hoskins — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- Oriana Leman — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- Nia Vardalos — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- Charlene Yi — “Cabinet of Curiosities” (Netflix)
- Michael Learned — “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- Penelope Ann Miller — “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- Niecy Nash-Betts — “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- Molly Ringwald — “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- Karen Malina White — “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- Danielle Deadwyler — “From Scratch” (Netflix)
- Rosaline Elbay — “Kaleidoscope” (Netflix)
- Tati Gabrielle — “Kaleidoscope” (Netflix)
- Niousha Noor — “Kaleidoscope” (Netflix)
- Jennifer Coolidge — “The Watcher” (Netflix)
- Noma Dumezweni — “The Watcher” (Netflix)
- Mia Farrow — “The Watcher” (Netflix)
- Isabell Gravitt — “The Watcher” (Netflix)
- Margo Martindale — “The Watcher” (Netflix)
- Michelle Yeoh — “The Witcher: Blood Origin” (Netflix)
- Hannah Waddingham — “Tom Jones: Masterpiece” (PBS)
- Mckenna Grace — “A Friend of the Family” (Peacock)
- Anna Paquin — “A Friend of the Family” (Peacock)
- Camila Morrone — “Daisy Jones & the Six” (Prime Video)
- Suki Waterhouse — “Daisy Jones & the Six” (Prime Video)
- Jennifer Ehle — “Dead Ringers” (Prime Video)
- Valerie Pachner — “The English” (Prime Video)
- Cynthia Addai-Robinson — “The People We Hate at the Wedding” (Prime Video))
- Kristen Bell — “The People We Hate at the Wedding” (Prime Video)
- Jennifer Coolidge — “Shotgun Wedding” (Prime Video)
- Julianne Nicholson — “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)
- Evan Rachel Wood — “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” (The Roku Channel)
** This list or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: Jennifer Coolidge as Tanya in “The White Lotus” (HBO) — Season 1
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.