Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Unstructured Reality Program
Weekly Commentary (June 22, 2023): Bravo’s “Vanderpump Rules,” Hulu’s “The Kardashians” and TLC’s “90 Day Fiancé: The Other Way” are among the 45 reality programs hoping to nab their first Emmy nominations. This is down from the previous three years, which had 65, 48 and 44 submissions, respectively.
“Vanderpump” is coming off its biggest season yet after star Tom Sandoval was revealed to be cheating on his partner of nine years, Ariana Madix (with her best friend and fellow co-star Raquel Leviss). Dubbed on social media as “#Scandoval,” it was a rating behemoth for Bravo, pulling 11.4 million viewers for Season 10. The first part of the reunion is the most-watched Bravo episode of any series in nine years.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
Ryan Reynolds’ sports series on FX that showcases the actor, along with Rob McElhenney buying the football club Wrexham A.F.C., could sneak into the lineup via the power of FX.
Among the other shows in the running are former nominees “Selling Sunset” from Netflix and MTV’s “RuPaul’s Drag Race: Untucked,” which won in 2022. Others include two TLC staples, the “90 Day Fiancé” spin-off “The Other Way” and the latest inception of “Sister Wives.”
Hulu’s “The Kardashians” missed out on a nom for its inaugural season, which the streamer boasted as its most-watched unscripted series. Coming after Hulu ordered 20 more episodes of the series that follows Kourtney, Kim, and Khloé Kardashian, along with their half-sisters, Kendall and Kylie Jenner, and their mother, Kris, a new Emmy voting method this year could benefit the TV family (no matter the eye rolls you think the public will have).
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.
Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.
2022 winner:
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “RuPaul’s Drag Race: Untucked” (MTV)
- “Vanderpump Rules” (Bravo)
- “Welcome to Wrexham” (FX)
- “Selling Sunset” (Netflix)
- “Below Deck: Sailing Yacht” (Bravo)
Next in Line
- “90 Day Fiancé: The Other Way” (TLC)
- “Deadliest Catch” (Discovery)
- “Married at First Sight” (Lifetime)
- “Indian Matchmaking” (Netflix)
- “Intervention” (A&E)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “Life Below Zero: First Alaskans” (National Geographic)
- “Running Wild With Bear Grylls: The Challenge” (National Geographic)
- “Sister Wives” (TLC)
- “The Kardashians” (Hulu)
- “The Real Housewives of Atlanta” (Bravo)
- “The Real Housewives of Miami” (Peacock)
- “Family Karma” (Bravo)
- “Million Dollar Listing Los Angeles” (Bravo)
- “Jersey Shore Family Vacation” (MTV)
- “Meet Me in Paris” (The Roku Channel)
Other Eligible Titles (Alphabetical Order)
“AEW: All Access” (HBO); “Bling Empire: New York” (Netflix); “Buying Beverly Hills” (Netflix); “The Come Up” (Freeform); “Critter Fixers: Country Vets” (National Geographic); “The Curse of Oak Island” (History); “The D’Amelio Show” (Hulu); “The Expats International Ingrams” (Purpose); “Forever Summer: Hamptons” (Prime Video); “Gold Rush” (Discovery); “The Grand Tour: A Scandi Flick” (Prime Video); “House of Ho” (HBO); “The Last Cowboy” (CMT); “Love Trip: Paris” (Freeform); “Married to Medicine” (Bravo); “The Montaners” (Disney+); “MTV’s Following: Bretman Rock” (MTV); “My Unorthodox Life” (Netflix); “Naked and Afraid” (Discovery); “911 Crisis Center” (Oxygen); “The Real Housewives Of Potomac” (Bravo); “Sweet Life: Los Angeles” (HBO); “SWV & Xscape: The Queens Of R&B” (Bravo); “Wahl Street” (HBO)
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Structured Reality Program
Weekly Commentary (June 22, 2023): The general public may not be aware of the three different reality categories at the Emmys — unstructured, structured, and competition — or even the difference between them all. Nonetheless, consumers will recognize many of the hot titles in the mix. Unstructured shows contain story elements driven by characters’ actions and lack a consistent “structured” template. At the same time, structured has elements that “mostly adhere to a recurring structured template.”
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
The race for structured reality has 37 shows looking for Emmy love, slightly increasing from the 36 entries in 2022. Among those are two Netflix hits — the dating show “Love is Blind” and the makeover series “Queer Eye,” which set the record for most wins ever in this category last year with five. With two previous noms, could the third time be the charm for “Love is Blind?”
In addition, Showtime’s “Couples Therapy” and Food Network’s “Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives” have both successfully petitioned to submit in this category and could reap the benefits.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.
Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.
2022 winner:
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “Queer Eye” (Netflix)
- “Love is Blind” (Netflix)
- “Antiques Roadshow” (PBS)
- “Shark Tank” (ABC)
- “Couples Therapy” (Showtime)
Next in Line
- “Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives” (Food Network)
- “Bar Rescue” (Paramount Network)
- “Married to Real Estate” (Discovery+)
- “Magnolia Table with Joanna Gaines” (Magnolia Network)
- “We’re Here” (HBO)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “The Ultimatum: Queer Love” (Netflix)
- “60 Days In” (A&E)
- “Dr. Pimple Popper” (TLC)
- “José Andrés and Family in Spain” (Discovery+)
- “The Gentle Art of Swedish Death Cleaning” (Peacock)
- “Geography of Bliss with Rainn Wilson” (Peacock)
- “Cesar Millan: Better Human Better Dog” (National Geographic)
- “Bachelor in Paradise” (ABC)
- “Cosmic Love” (Prime Video)
- “Pawn Stars” (History)
Other Eligible Titles (Alphabetical Order)
“AEW: Dynamite” (TNT); “American Pickers” (History); “Back in the Groove” (Hulu); “Best of the Worst” (Red Letter Media); “Celebrity IOU” (HGTV); “Celebrity Prank Wars” (Hartbeat); “Christina In The Country” (HGTV); “Down Home Fab” (HGTV); “Enamorándonos” (VIX); “The Flipping El Moussas” (HGTV); “Home Town Makeover” (HGTV); “Mark Rober’s Revengineers” (Discovery); “The One That Got Away” (Prime Video); “The Parent Test” (ABC); “Pawn Stars Do America” (History); “Rico to the Rescue” (HGTV); “Ring Nation” (BigFish); “Shorty’s Dream Shop” (Motortrend TV); “Special Forces World’s Toughest Test” (Fox); “Who Do You Think You Are?” (Acorn)
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Reality Competition Program
Weekly Commentary (June 22, 2023): With last year’s winner for outstanding competition program “Lizzo’s Watch Out for the Big Grrrls” not eligible, the race (which returns to its original name this year, “reality competition”) finds 59 titles angling for recognition a downtick from the 81 in 2022.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
Among those desiring to “receive a rose” is ABC’s two love shows, “The Bachelor” and “The Bachelorette.” #BachelorNation will have to battle the talents of “RuPaul’s Drag Race” from MTV, “The Amazing Race” from CBS and “The Voice” from NBC.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.
Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.
2022 winner:
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “RuPaul’s Drag Race” (VH1)
- “Top Chef” (Bravo)
- “The Voice” (NBC)
- “The Amazing Race” (CBS)
- “The Circle” (Netflix)
Next in Line
- “Nailed It” (Netflix)
- “Survivor” (CBS)
- “The Great American Baking Show” (The Roku Channel)
- “Dancing with the Stars” (Disney+)
- “Chopped” (Food Network)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “The Masked Singer” (Fox)
- “My Kind of Country” (Apple TV+)
- “The Traitors” (Peacock)
- “Floor is Lava” (Netflix)
- “Perfect Match” (Netflix)
- “The Climb” (HBO)
- “Making the Cut” (Prime Video)
- “Baking It” (Peacock)
- “America’s Got Talent” (NBC)
- “Tough as Nails” (CBS)
Other Eligible Titles (Alphabetical Order)
“Alone” (History); “America’s Test Kitchen: The Next Generation” (Prime Video); “The Bachelor” (ABC); “The Bachelorette” (ABC); “The Big Bunch” (HBO); “Bobby’s Triple Threat” (Food Network); “The Boulet Brothers’ Dragula Titans” (AMC); “Ciao House” (Food Network); “Chefs vs. Wild” (Hulu); “Claim to Fame” (ABC); “The Climb” (HBO); “Dancing With Myself” (NBC); “Drag Me to Dinner” (Hulu); “Dr. Seuss Baking Challenge” (Prime Video); “Farmer Wants a Wife” (Fox); “Forged in Fire” (Netflix); “The Great American Recipe” (PBS); “The Hype” (HBO); “Iron Chef: Quest For An Iron Legend” (Netflix); “Lego Masters” (Fox); “Love Island” (Peacock); “Master Chef” (Fox); “The Mole” (Netflix); “Next in Fashion” (Netflix); “Next Level Chef” (CTV); “Outlast” (Netflix) “Pickled” (CBS); “Queens Court” (Peacock); “Race to Survive Alaska” (USA); “Road To The Runway: Slay Model Search” (Here Media); “Rock the Block” (HGTV); “Silos Baking Competition: Summer Special” (Blind Nil); “So You Think You Can Dance” (Fox); “Tournament of Champions” (Food Network); “Ugliest House in America” (Discovery+); “Upcycle Nation” (Fuse)
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Reality Competition Host
Weekly Commentary (June 22, 2023): What’s a reality show without a great host? Sixty-seven emcees are vying for noms, including married couple Nick and Vanessa Lachey from “Love is Blind” and the Sharks of ABC’s “Shark Tank,” Mark Cuban, Barbara Corcoran, Lori Greiner, Robert Herjavec, Daymond John and Kevin O’Leary.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
Married couple Nick and Vanessa Lachey received backlash from the “Love is Blind” live (-ish) reunion on Netflix. Still, does that mean the show or the hosts can’t get nominated for an Emmy? Of course, it doesn’t. What’s an Emmy season without controversial mentions? They could be it.
I’ll be interested to see if Carson Daly can nab his first nomination as the host of the singing competition show “The Voice.” While a four-time winner as a producer, the former MTV VJ and current co-host of NBC’s “The Today Show” has never been recognized. That has to change at some point. Right.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.
Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.
2022 winner:
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “RuPaul’s Drag Race” (VH1) — RuPaul
- “Queer Eye” (Netflix) — Bobby Berk, Karamo Brown, Tan Frace, Antoni Porowski, Jonathan Van Ness
- “Top Chef” (Bravo) — Padma Lakshmi
- “Shark Tank” (ABC) — Mark Cuban, Barbara Corcoran, Lori Greiner, Robert Herjavec, Daymond John, Kevin O’Leary
- “The Voice” (NBC) — Carson Daly
Next in Line
- “American Idol” (ABC) — Ryan Seacrest
- “Love is Blind” (Netflix) — Vanessa Lachey, Nick Lachey
- “The Amazing Race” (CBS) — Phil Keoghan
- “Nailed It” (Netflix) — Nicole Byer
- “Alex vs. America” (Food Network) — Alex Guarnaschelli
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives” (Food Network) — Guy Fieri
- “Survivor” (CBS) — Jeff Probst
- “The Traitors” (Peacock) — Alan Cumming
- “Chopped” (Food Network) — Ted Allen
- “America Ninja Warrior” (NBC) — Matt Iseman, Akbar Gbajabiamila, Zuri Hall
- “Making the Cut” (Prime Video) — Heidi Klum, Tim Gunn
- “Dancing with the Stars” (Disney+) — Tyra Banks, Alfonso Ribeiro
- “Pickled” (CBS) — Stephen Colbert
- “The Ultimatum: Queer Love” (Netflix) — JoAnna Garcia Swisher
- “The Challenge: Ride or Dies” (MTV) — TJ Lavin
Other Eligible Titles
“Baking It” (Amy Poehler, Maya Rudolph); “Bobby’s Triple Threat” (Bobby Flay); “My Kind of Country” (Jimmie Allen, Mickey Guyton, Orville Peck); “Lego Masters” (Will Arnett); “The Gentle Art of Swedish Death Cleaning” (Katarina Blom, Ella Engström, Johan Svenson); “The Boulet Brothers’ Dragula: Titans” (The Boulet Brothers); “Ciao House” (Alex Guarnaschelli & Gabriele Bertaccini); “Iron Chef: Quest for an Iron Legend” (Alton Brown, Kristen Kish); “The Masked Singer” (Nick Cannon); “The Grand Tour: A Scandi Flick” (Jeremy Clarkson, Richard Hammond, James May); “Down Home Fab” (Chelsea DeBoer, Cole DeBoer); “So You Think You Can Dance” (Cat Deeley), “The Flipping El Moussas” (Tarek El Moussa, Heather Rae El Moussa); “Next in Fashion” (Tan France, Gigi Hadid); “Drag Me to Dinner” (Murray Hill); “The Great American Baking Show” (Ellie Kemper, Zach Cherry); “Tough as Nails” (Phil Keoghan); “Dancing with Myself” (Camille Kostek); “Perfect Match” (Nick Lachey); “The Big Brunch” (Dan Levy); “Rico to the Rescue” (Rico León); “Ink Master” (Joel Madden); “America’s Test Kitchen: The Next Generation” (Jeannie Mai); “Cesar Millan: Better Human, Better Dog” (Cesar Millan); “The Climb” (Jason Mamoa, Chris Sharma, Meagan Martin); “The Hype” (Speedy Morman); “Dr. Seuss Baking Challenge” (Tamera Mowry-Housley); “Farmer Wants a Wife” (Jennifer Nettles); “The Real Love Boat” (Jerry O’Connell, Rebecca Romijn); “The Bachelorette” (Jesse Palmer); “Rock the Block” (Ty Pennington); “Next Level Chef” (Gordon Ramsay); “Ugliest House in America” (Retta); “America’s Funniest Home Videos” (Alfonso Ribeiro); “Mark Rober’s Revengineers” (Mark Rober); “Queens Court” (Holly Robinson Peete, Rodney Peete); “Caught in the Act: Unfaithful” (Tami Roman); “Celebrity IOU” (Jonathan Scott, Drew Scott); “Married to Real Estate” (Egypt Sherrod, Mike Jackson); “Ring Nation” (Wanda Sykes); “Bar Rescue” (Jon Taffer); “We’re Here” (Caldwell “Bob the Drag Tqueen Tidicue, Ereika! “D. Huggard” O’Hara, D.J. “Shangela” Pierce”)
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.