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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series

Showtime

Weekly Commentary (Updated June 22, 2023): How many actors from “Succession” or “The Last of Us” will make it? That’s the burning question that we really can’t answer yet.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.

There is also an interesting mix of guest stars from “The Mandalorian” which includes music superstar and recent Emmy winner Lizzo (“Watch Out for the Big Grrrls”), Katy O’Brian and Amy Sedaris.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.

Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.


And the Predicted Nominees Are:


  1. Melanie Lynskey — “The Last of Us” (HBO)
  2. Harriet Walter — “Succession” (HBO)
  3. Hiam Abbass — “Succession” (HBO)
  4. Betsy Brandt — “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
  5. Fiona Shaw — “Andor” (Disney+)
  6. Anna Torv — “The Last of Us” (HBO)

Next in Line


  1. Cherry Jones — “Succession” (HBO)
  2. Ella Purnell — “Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
  3. Hope Davis — “Succession” (HBO)
  4. Margo Martindale — “Your Honor” (Showtime)

Other Top-Tier Possibilities


  1. Phylicia Rashad — “The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
  2. Claire Foy — “The Crown” (Netflix)
  3. Aya Cash — “The Boys” (Prime Video)
  4. Jacki Weaver — “Yellowstone” (Paramount Network)
  5. Nico Parker — “The Last of Us” (HBO)
  6. Storm Reid — “The Last of Us” (HBO)
  7. Vanessa Kirby — “The Crown” (Netflix)
  8. Jeanie Berlin — “Succession” (HBO)
  9. Mckenna Grace — “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
  10. Gwendoline Christie — “The Sandman” (Netflix)

All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**


  • Andrea Cortés — “Big Sky: Deadly Trails” (ABC)
  • Elena Campbell-Martínez — “Station 19” (ABC)
  • Tamara Clatterbuck — “Will Trent” (ABC)
  • Betsy Brandt — “Better Call Saul” (AMC)
  • Rebecca Metz — “Life By Ella” (Apple TV+)
  • Regina Taylor — “CSI: Vegas” (CBS)
  • Jonee Shady — “All American” (The CW)
  • Fiona Shaw — “Andor” (Disney+)
  • Lizzo — “The Mandalorian” (Disney+)
  • Amy Sedaris — “The Mandalorian” (Disney+)
  • Cocoa Brown — “9-1-1” (Fox)
  • Gloria Garayua — “9-1-1” (Fox)
  • Roxana Brusso — “9-1-1: Lone Star” (Fox)
  • Meredith Jackson — “Fantasy Island” (Fox)
  • Tara Buck — “The Orville: New Horizons” (Fox)
  • Tara Buck — “The Rookie: Feds” (Fox)
  • Sian Brooke — “House of the Dragon” (HBO)
  • Merle Dandridge — “The Last of Us” (HBO)
  • Christine Hakim — “The Last of Us” (HBO)
  • Ashley Johnson — “The Last of Us” (HBO)
  • Melanie Lynskey — “The Last of Us” (HBO)
  • Nico Parker — “The Last of Us” (HBO)
  • Storm Reid — “The Last of Us” (HBO)
  • Anna Torv — “The Last of Us” (HBO)
  • Hiam Abbass — “Succession” (HBO)
  • Hope Davis — “Succession” (HBO)
  • Natalie Gold — “Succession” (HBO)
  • Cherry Jones — “Succession” (HBO)
  • Harriet Walter — “Succession” (HBO)
  • Saffron Burrows — “Westworld” (HBO)
  • Clea DuVall — “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
  • Mckenna Grace — “The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
  • Laura Gardner — “Chicago Med” (NBC)
  • Claire Foy — “The Crown” (Netflix)
  • Vanessa Kirby — “The Crown” (Netflix)
  • Natasja McElhone — “The Crown” (Netflix)
  • T’Nia Miller — “The Diplomat” (Netflix)
  • Heidi Armbruster — “Manifest” (Netflix)
  • Gwendoline Christie — “The Sandman” (Netflix)
  • Joely Richardson — “The Sandman” (Netflix)
  • Tuyen Do — “Shadow & Bone” (Netflix)
  • Laura Hopper — “The Umbrella Academy” (Netflix)
  • Carrie Preston — “The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
  • Phylicia Rashad — “The Good Fight” (Paramount+)
  • Michelle Forbes — “Star Trek: Picard” (Paramount+)
  • Jacki Weaver — “Yellowstone” (Paramount Network)
  • Aya Cash — “The Boys” (Prime Video)
  • Sophia Nomvete — “The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power” (Prime Video)
  • Alexandra Billings — “The Peripheral” (Prime Video)
  • Kandi Burruss — “The Chi” (Showtime)
  • Ella Purnell — “Yellowjackets” (Showtime)
  • Margo Martindale — “Your Honor” (Showtime)
  • Megan Thee Stallion — “P-Valley” (Starz)

** This official list and/or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.

2022 category winner: Lee Yoo-mi as Ji-Yeong in “Squid Game” (Netflix)


Emmy Awards Predictions Categories

DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)

Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories

GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES

About the Primetime Emmy Awards

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.